Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002660 0.002844 0.003042 0.003272 0.003535 0.003827 0.004180
2024-10-20 0.002302 0.002535 0.002800 0.003127 0.003528 0.004011 0.004653
2024-10-27 0.002115 0.002383 0.002701 0.003113 0.003650 0.004346 0.005362
2024-11-03 0.001889 0.002156 0.002480 0.002914 0.003500 0.004297 0.005539
2024-11-10 0.001806 0.002092 0.002450 0.002947 0.003650 0.004669 0.006405
2024-11-17 0.001747 0.002051 0.002442 0.003003 0.003835 0.005118 0.007532
2024-11-24 0.001667 0.001977 0.002382 0.002978 0.003892 0.005375 0.008408
2024-12-01 0.001629 0.001953 0.002385 0.003041 0.004088 0.005901 0.010051
2024-12-08 0.001571 0.001898 0.002342 0.003028 0.004160 0.006218 0.011403
2024-12-15 0.001507 0.001831 0.002276 0.002974 0.004154 0.006384 0.012471
2024-12-22 0.001484 0.001819 0.002286 0.003039 0.004360 0.007025 0.015445
2024-12-29 0.001459 0.001802 0.002289 0.003091 0.004550 0.007689 0.019364
2025-01-05 0.001409 0.001750 0.002239 0.003058 0.004590 0.008054 0.022897
2025-01-12 0.001341 0.001670 0.002144 0.002943 0.004456 0.007955 0.024052
2025-01-19 0.001305 0.001634 0.002113 0.002936 0.004538 0.008456 0.030247
2025-01-26 0.001231 0.001540 0.001989 0.002758 0.004248 0.007860 0.027296
2025-02-02 0.001210 0.001523 0.001984 0.002789 0.004399 0.008569 0.037707
2025-02-09 0.001196 0.001515 0.001992 0.002840 0.004602 0.009540 0.060870
2025-02-16 0.001166 0.001483 0.001959 0.002817 0.004637 0.009980 0.086031
2025-02-23 0.001155 0.001478 0.001970 0.002874 0.004865 0.011256 0.245752
2025-03-02 0.001131 0.001452 0.001945 0.002863 0.004928 0.011936 1.105697
2025-03-09 0.001101 0.001417 0.001903 0.002814 0.004891 0.012176 NaN
2025-03-16 0.001093 0.001414 0.001915 0.002872 0.005139 0.013946 NaN